Can We Predict Bitcoin’s Next Peak?
Here’s what the data says:
Timing
Historical halving cycles and seasonal trends suggest Bitcoin could peak between October and November 2025 — roughly 17 months after the halving.
Price Target
Logarithmic models and on-chain data point to a potential cycle top in the $240,000 to $260,000 range, assuming a parabolic rally begins soon. Resistance bands and top indicators support this estimate.
Diminishing Returns
Each cycle has delivered smaller percentage gains. While massive returns are still possible, expectations should be more measured.
What It Means
• Long-term holders: Avoid buying near peaks, focus on dips.
• Short-term traders: Watch for multiple signals aligning. Gradually scale out rather than trying to sell the top.
• Everyone: Let data guide decisions — not emotion.
This cycle may be slower, but strong evidence suggests Bitcoin has more room to run.
