Understanding Bitcoin’s 4-Year Cycle
Bitcoin’s price movements have shown a predictable pattern over the past three halving events:
- Bull Phase (halving to cycle top): typically lasts around 75 weeks on average.
- Bear Phase (top to bottom): usually lasts about 53 weeks.
- Accumulation (bottom to next halving): averages around 74 weeks.
Based on historical data, the current cycle is projected to reach its median peak around September 29. However, the mean suggests that the peak might have already occurred.
Is Bitcoin Following the 4-Year Cycle?
While past trends can provide insights, it’s essential to consider broader market dynamics that influence Bitcoin’s price movements today. The question arises: is Bitcoin adhering to its traditional 4-year cycle, or are we witnessing a deviation from this pattern?
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